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Understanding War in Middle East in context of Power, reputation and detterence

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by : Muhammad Bilal Iftikhar Khan

Complex regional and international tensions have been sparked by the current conflict between Israel and Hamas, which has resulted in numerous fatalities and extensive devastation. A deeper fight for influence, authority, and the maintenance of current power systems is shown by the conflict, which goes beyond the immediate toll of casualties.

The concepts of reputation and deterrence are central to the conflict. Israel's goal is to rid Gaza of Palestinians, using fighting Hamas as an excuse. However, using excessive force runs the danger of harming Israel's reputation abroad and escalating anti-Israeli sentiment in the Muslim world. Israel's carefully constructed image as a democratic state is in jeopardy because of the destruction in Gaza and accusations of war crimes, which also undermine Israel's moral legitimacy claims. On the other hand, US and West are also losing reputations. axis of Resistance allied with Iran is challenging their interests in the Middle East. For the US, former Secretary of State, Henry Kissinger listed Israel's defence as a top foreign policy priority for the United States, which highlights the Zionists' sway over American decision-makers.

Over 30,000 people have died in the conflict between Israel and Hamas, leaving Gaza little more than a pile of concrete and debris.

Yemen has entered the conflict in favour of the Palestinians as a result of Israel's use of lethal force against them, and as a result, all maritime commerce to Israel is prohibited, and ships flying the Israeli flag are not allowed to pass the Red Sea.

 

While large numbers of people in America and Europe demonstrate in favor of Palestine, the United States and other European nations have supported Israel since the start of hostilities. This support is not based on any rules but on the realist need of survival and preserving deterrence.

 Russia's strategic achievements, especially in Africa, and China's growing influence in the Middle East are two important aspects of this struggle.

Changes in U.S. policy have made it easier for China to make gains in the Middle East, such as the reconciliation of Saudi Arabia and Iran and the UAE and KSA's involvement in the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI).

Africa is witnessing an expansion of Chinese and Russian influence; recent developments in Burkina Faso, Niger, and Mali are notable instances of this. It means at last Africa is revolting against its former masters who even after their independence manipulated and humiliated them.

The Red Sea problem has grown to be a reputational concern amid the Thucydides Trap and the U.S.-China Cold War. The United States has launched CTF 153, a UN-affiliated counteroffensive against Yemen, in response to the closure of the Red Sea waterway. Despite worries of genocide in Gaza, the United States and its Western allies have supported Israel unconditionally, which is perceived as an effort to retain power in the Middle East's oil-rich region.

 

In the context of the U.S.-China Cold War and the Thucydides Trap, the denial of genocide in Gaza sends mixed messages to the Muslim masses and the third world. The issue that the West and the United States are facing has the potential to bolster multipolarity and reduce their global dominance. The United States and its Western allies may resort to drastic measures to preserve relevance and deterrence, which might escalate the fight into a regional and ultimately worldwide world war.

 

About the Author

Strategic Analysis Group is an online forum of Pakistani journalists, who are contributing to provide a better understanding of strategic and international developments. It is done with objectivity without sensationalism that is prevalent in our so…

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